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Red46
972919.6
199114.2
110026.2
Blue70
23816.5
490523.5
634622.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions706602040801001201401604670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1100
#33
26.21.5
28.026.5
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 2.7
4905
#27
23.50.0
23.123.1
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Second
9729
#41
19.61.5
21.319.8
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
blue by 2.5
6346
#35
22.10.0
22.022.0
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
1991
#42
14.21.5
13.712.2
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.1
blue by 2.3
238
#38
16.50.0
14.814.8
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsMissed45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned