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Red58
346425.9
542226.7
417623.7
Blue127
206736.2
568742.8
808528.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7711220406010012014016018058127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#22
26.71.0
28.427.4
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
blue by 16.1
42.82.0
37.939.9
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
Second
3464
#15
25.91.0
22.821.7
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
blue by 10.3
2067
#10
36.22.0
30.632.6
Auto15.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Third
4176
#29
23.71.0
22.321.2
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 4.6
28.32.0
28.530.5
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed77%Ensemble oddsEarned