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Red100
19535.7
216823.2
46725.3
Blue89
50919.9
971013.1
176837.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8573020406010012014010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#21
35.71.6
30.932.5
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
blue by 1.9
37.71.1
36.237.3
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
Second
467
#32
25.31.6
24.325.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End2.4
red by 5.4
509
#39
19.91.1
20.021.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Third
23.21.6
20.321.9
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 10.2
9710
#48
13.11.1
10.912.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed