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Red54
147418.4
135019.1
791322.1
Blue73
287732.2
111921.3
841021.7
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617302040801001201405473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7913
#31
22.10.2
20.820.7
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 10.2
2877
#26
32.20.4
31.131.5
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4
Second
1350
#46
19.10.2
20.119.9
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
blue by 2.7
8410
#37
21.70.4
18.018.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Third
1474
#40
18.40.2
15.515.3
Auto8.2
Teleop7.7
End2.5
blue by 2.9
1119
#28
21.30.4
15.315.8
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed