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Red71
870927.3
271335.5
447319.8
Blue108
431119.9
490931.0
264827.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8383758085909510571108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#18
35.50.3
31.731.5
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
red by 4.5
4909
#13
31.00.9
28.929.9
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Second
27.30.3
25.224.9
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
blue by 0.6
2648
#14
27.90.9
26.427.3
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
4473
#44
19.80.3
18.117.9
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 0.1
4311
#34
19.90.9
19.920.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
43%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned