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Red92
808528.3
55830.3
110026.2
Blue98
23024.6
632848.2
854418.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions951034060801201401609298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#25
30.30.3
29.629.3
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End3.7
blue by 18.0
48.20.3
49.049.2
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
28.30.3
30.530.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
red by 3.7
230
#16
24.60.3
26.326.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
Third
1100
#33
26.20.3
26.526.2
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
red by 7.4
8544
#36
18.80.3
16.616.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
95%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsMissed92%Ensemble oddsEarned