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Red79
417623.7
19535.7
971013.1
Blue61
542226.7
634622.1
83920.7
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72792040601001207961

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#21
35.70.9
32.533.4
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 9.0
5422
#22
26.70.7
27.426.7
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
Second
4176
#29
23.70.9
21.222.1
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
red by 1.6
6346
#35
22.10.7
22.021.4
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Third
9710
#48
13.10.9
12.012.9
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 7.6
839
#19
20.70.7
21.420.7
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed