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Red61
431119.9
841021.7
135019.1
Blue68
242322.0
490931.0
17324.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62882040801001201401606168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8410
#37
21.70.5
18.517.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
blue by 9.2
4909
#13
31.00.9
29.928.9
Auto13.3
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Second
4311
#34
19.90.5
20.820.3
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End0.8
blue by 4.1
173
#23
24.00.9
23.722.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Third
1350
#46
19.10.5
19.919.4
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
blue by 2.9
2423
#24
22.00.9
23.222.3
Auto7.2
Teleop12.4
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
59%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned52%Ensemble oddsMissed