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Red58
271335.5
207918.0
55830.3
Blue76
19535.7
808528.3
83920.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899460801001201405876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#18
35.51.7
31.529.8
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
blue by 0.2
195
#21
35.70.6
33.432.9
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
558
#25
30.31.7
29.327.6
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End3.7
red by 1.9
28.30.6
30.229.7
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
2079
#43
18.01.7
20.118.5
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 2.7
839
#19
20.70.6
20.720.2
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned92%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed