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Red81
8836.6
511212.7
50919.9
Blue98
870927.3
23024.6
346425.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72842040601001201408198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#17
36.60.9
36.637.6
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
red by 9.3
27.31.5
24.926.5
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Second
509
#39
19.90.9
19.220.1
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
blue by 6.0
3464
#15
25.91.5
23.324.9
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
Third
5112
#45
12.70.9
11.112.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 11.9
230
#16
24.61.5
26.628.2
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned77%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
74%Ensemble oddsMissed78%Ensemble oddsEarned