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Red95
216823.2
801338.8
264827.9
Blue77
192232.7
417623.7
854418.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions977540601201401609577

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.4
35.736.1
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 6.1
1922
#12
32.70.1
31.431.5
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Second
2648
#14
27.90.4
27.327.7
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
red by 4.2
4176
#29
23.70.1
22.122.2
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Third
23.20.4
21.922.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
red by 4.5
8544
#36
18.80.1
16.816.9
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
96%Melody oddsEarned83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
73%Ensemble oddsMissed68%Ensemble oddsMissed