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Red91
199114.2
46725.3
17640.4
Blue79
632848.2
13819.6
971013.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86934060801001201409179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#11
40.40.5
41.041.5
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
blue by 7.8
48.20.6
49.248.6
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
Second
467
#32
25.30.5
26.126.6
Auto9.7
Teleop13.3
End2.4
red by 5.7
138
#47
19.60.6
21.020.4
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Third
1991
#42
14.20.5
11.612.1
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.1
red by 1.1
9710
#48
13.10.6
12.912.3
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed71%Ensemble oddsMissed