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Red97
110026.2
23816.5
176837.7
Blue118
169939.8
568742.8
111921.3
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8210620406012014016018097118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.7
37.538.2
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
blue by 5.1
42.81.3
39.340.7
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
Second
1100
#33
26.20.7
26.226.9
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9
blue by 13.6
39.81.3
37.839.2
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
Third
238
#38
16.50.7
12.913.6
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 4.8
1119
#28
21.31.3
15.817.1
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsEarned36%Ensemble oddsMissed