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Red45
511212.7
135019.1
242322.0
Blue74
808528.3
431119.9
19028.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions549402040801201401604574

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#24
22.00.6
22.321.7
Auto7.2
Teleop12.4
End2.4
blue by 6.7
190
#30
28.70.4
30.830.3
Auto8.8
Teleop17.7
End2.2
Second
1350
#46
19.10.6
19.418.8
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
blue by 9.2
28.30.4
29.729.2
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
Third
5112
#45
12.70.6
12.011.5
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 7.2
4311
#34
19.90.4
20.319.8
Auto9.4
Teleop9.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsEarned