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Red50
23024.6
83920.7
791322.1
Blue85
447319.8
417623.7
801338.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions768740601001201405085

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#16
24.61.3
28.226.8
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
blue by 14.2
38.80.5
36.136.6
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
Second
7913
#31
22.11.3
21.620.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 1.6
4176
#29
23.70.5
22.222.8
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
Third
839
#19
20.71.3
20.218.8
Auto4.4
Teleop13.7
End2.6
red by 0.9
4473
#44
19.80.5
18.819.3
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
68%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsEarned