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Red134
17640.4
19535.7
632848.2
Blue56
17324.0
50919.9
175720.3
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14859010020013456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.20.4
48.649.0
Auto17.1
Teleop23.9
End7.2
red by 24.2
173
#23
24.00.5
22.722.2
Auto7.8
Teleop13.3
End2.9
Second
176
#11
40.40.4
41.541.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
red by 20.2
1757
#20
20.30.5
20.620.1
Auto5.5
Teleop12.4
End2.5
Third
195
#21
35.70.4
32.933.3
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 15.8
509
#39
19.90.5
20.119.6
Auto4.7
Teleop11.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsMissed