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Red106
17731.2
854418.8
271335.5
Blue97
111921.3
206736.2
23816.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8770020406010012014016010697

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2713
#18
35.51.8
29.831.6
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
blue by 0.7
2067
#10
36.22.1
34.836.9
Auto15.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
177
#2
31.21.8
29.831.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 10.0
1119
#28
21.32.1
17.119.2
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
Third
8544
#36
18.81.8
16.918.8
Auto6.3
Teleop9.9
End2.6
red by 2.3
238
#38
16.52.1
13.615.7
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned46%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
61%Ensemble oddsMissed61%Ensemble oddsEarned