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Red86
169939.8
207918.0
13819.6
Blue102
568742.8
870927.3
264827.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8310820406010012014016018086102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.4
39.239.6
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
blue by 3.0
42.80.5
40.741.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
Second
138
#47
19.60.4
20.420.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.0
blue by 8.3
2648
#14
27.90.5
27.728.2
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
2079
#43
18.00.4
18.518.9
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 9.3
27.30.5
26.527.0
Auto9.7
Teleop14.3
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned