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Red86
841021.7
490523.5
55830.3
Blue103
192232.7
176837.7
972919.6
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721032040608012014086103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
558
#25
30.31.2
27.628.8
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End3.7
blue by 7.4
37.70.9
38.239.1
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
Second
4905
#27
23.51.2
23.224.3
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 9.1
1922
#12
32.70.9
31.532.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
Third
8410
#37
21.71.2
17.919.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
red by 2.1
9729
#41
19.60.9
19.720.6
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsEarned