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Red75
808528.3
111921.3
23024.6
Blue53
634622.1
13819.6
199114.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755402040601001207553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.30.3
26.426.8
Auto9.2
Teleop13.6
End5.5
red by 6.2
6346
#35
22.10.1
21.021.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End1.9
Second
230
#16
24.60.3
24.424.7
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
red by 5.0
138
#47
19.60.1
23.123.2
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Third
1119
#28
21.30.3
14.314.7
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End2.3
red by 7.1
1991
#42
14.20.1
7.47.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned64%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned15%Ensemble oddsMissed