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Red70
417623.7
216823.2
207918.0
Blue90
841021.7
8836.6
17640.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions631122040801001201401607090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4176
#29
23.70.5
21.021.5
Auto10.7
Teleop9.8
End3.2
blue by 16.7
176
#11
40.40.4
45.545.2
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
Second
23.20.5
19.019.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.5
End1.5
blue by 13.4
88
#17
36.60.4
31.831.4
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Third
2079
#43
18.00.5
22.623.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
blue by 3.7
8410
#37
21.70.4
18.317.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed