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Red89
176837.7
17731.2
490523.5
Blue82
135019.1
17640.4
13819.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108874060801001201401608982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.70.4
39.138.7
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
blue by 2.7
176
#11
40.40.0
41.941.9
Auto12.4
Teleop26.6
End1.4
Second
177
#2
31.20.4
31.631.2
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End2.5
red by 11.6
138
#47
19.60.0
20.820.8
Auto4.5
Teleop13.1
End2.0
Third
4905
#27
23.50.4
24.323.9
Auto8.1
Teleop12.6
End2.9
red by 4.5
1350
#46
19.10.0
18.818.8
Auto9.1
Teleop7.7
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
98%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed