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Red76
23816.5
971013.1
568742.8
Blue88
264827.9
791322.1
55830.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75872040601001201407688

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.3
41.241.5
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
red by 12.5
558
#25
30.30.7
28.829.5
Auto7.6
Teleop18.9
End3.7
Second
238
#38
16.50.3
15.716.0
Auto7.4
Teleop6.2
End2.9
blue by 11.5
2648
#14
27.90.7
28.228.9
Auto10.4
Teleop14.7
End2.8
Third
9710
#48
13.10.3
12.512.8
Auto2.9
Teleop9.5
End0.7
blue by 9.0
7913
#31
22.10.7
20.321.0
Auto8.1
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
70%Melody oddsEarned82%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed