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Red56
23024.6
972919.6
542226.7
Blue96
207918.0
511212.7
19535.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85682040601001201405696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5422
#22
26.71.2
27.326.1
Auto8.7
Teleop16.6
End1.4
blue by 9.0
195
#21
35.70.8
33.334.1
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
Second
230
#16
24.61.2
26.825.6
Auto7.9
Teleop11.3
End5.4
red by 6.5
2079
#43
18.00.8
18.919.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End1.1
Third
9729
#41
19.61.2
20.619.3
Auto7.6
Teleop9.9
End2.0
red by 6.9
5112
#45
12.70.8
11.512.3
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsEarned