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Red51
192232.7
634622.1
447319.8
Blue118
271335.5
206736.2
841021.7
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions80996012014016051118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1922
#12
32.71.6
32.430.9
Auto9.4
Teleop19.0
End4.2
blue by 3.5
2067
#10
36.22.0
36.938.9
Auto15.6
Teleop14.9
End5.7
Second
6346
#35
22.11.6
22.721.1
Auto7.8
Teleop12.5
End1.9
blue by 13.4
2713
#18
35.52.0
31.633.7
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
Third
4473
#44
19.81.6
19.317.7
Auto6.5
Teleop11.6
End1.8
blue by 1.9
8410
#37
21.72.0
19.121.1
Auto6.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
41%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsEarned