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Red111
346425.9
568742.8
17731.2
Blue103
287732.2
8836.6
169939.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11012180100140160111103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.80.0
43.243.2
Auto11.8
Teleop28.7
End2.3
red by 3.0
39.80.5
39.839.3
Auto13.4
Teleop23.5
End2.9
Second
177
#2
31.20.0
31.631.6
Auto9.6
Teleop19.1
End2.5
blue by 5.4
88
#17
36.60.5
36.636.1
Auto12.3
Teleop19.2
End5.1
Third
3464
#15
25.90.0
26.326.3
Auto10.1
Teleop12.9
End2.9
blue by 6.4
2877
#26
32.20.5
32.231.7
Auto11.3
Teleop18.6
End2.4