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Red123
511212.7
19535.7
801338.8
Blue88
271335.5
176837.7
110026.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions891135010015020012388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.80.5
37.638.2
Auto11.8
Teleop20.7
End6.3
red by 1.1
37.70.3
37.637.3
Auto15.1
Teleop21.5
End1.1
Second
195
#21
35.70.5
34.535.1
Auto12.0
Teleop21.7
End2.0
red by 0.2
2713
#18
35.50.3
35.435.1
Auto10.3
Teleop23.7
End1.5
Third
5112
#45
12.70.5
11.512.0
Auto8.0
Teleop4.0
End0.8
blue by 13.5
1100
#33
26.20.3
26.125.8
Auto8.8
Teleop15.5
End1.9