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Red156
29428.9
132359.8
25454.5
Blue120
347847.7
691932.9
291050.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16014550100200250300156120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.80.1
59.859.7
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
red by 9.6
2910
#21
50.20.3
51.050.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
Second
254
#1
54.50.1
54.554.4
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
red by 6.7
47.70.3
48.548.2
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Third
294
#40
28.90.1
29.028.8
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
blue by 4.0
6919
#18
32.90.3
33.733.4
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8