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Red110
291050.2
691932.9
347847.7
Blue90
35947.6
297446.3
393736.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1491489011013014011090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#21
50.20.6
51.651.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End2.6
red by 2.6
359
#6
47.61.2
48.847.6
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
Second
47.70.6
49.148.5
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 1.4
46.31.2
47.546.3
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
Third
6919
#18
32.90.6
34.333.7
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
blue by 3.9
3937
#28
36.91.2
38.136.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0