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Red62
547235.3
347317.2
947710.2
Blue42
77486.0
162934.1
642923.5
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55723040506080901006242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#26
35.30.4
26.827.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.5
End2.8
red by 1.2
1629
#22
34.11.7
32.130.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
3473
#56
17.20.4
12.212.5
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
blue by 6.3
6429
#34
23.52.3
23.321.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End0.9
Third
9477
#74
10.20.4
12.613.0
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
red by 4.2
7748
#73
6.02.1
8.16.0
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed59%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed