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Red38
949517.8
347632.0
61031.4
Blue98
403940.2
350424.2
960932.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921044060801201403898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3476
#25
32.03.4
30.927.5
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
blue by 8.2
4039
#36
40.20.2
40.941.2
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
610
#54
31.43.4
31.327.9
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
blue by 1.4
9609
#24
32.80.2
29.429.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
Third
9495
#46
17.83.4
22.519.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
blue by 6.4
3504
#53
24.20.2
22.122.3
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsMissed98%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
39%Ensemble oddsMissed40%Ensemble oddsEarned