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Qual 1012024 Newton Division
Red120
393736.9
297446.3
300816.8
Blue92
593318.4
949517.8
132359.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111108608010012014016018012092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#7
46.31.3
47.0→48.4
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
blue by 13.5
1323
#2
59.80.4
59.9→59.5
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
Second
3937
#28
36.91.3
38.5→39.8
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
red by 18.4
5933
#55
18.40.4
18.1→17.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
3008
#57
16.81.3
14.6→16.0
Auto6.2
Teleop9.0
End1.6
blue by 1.1
9495
#46
17.80.4
19.9→19.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned72%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed93%Ensemble oddsEarned