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Red82
477933.4
350424.2
333939.1
Blue83
5827.1
25454.5
947511.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101087080901001201301408283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3339
#12
39.11.8
38.436.6
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
blue by 15.4
254
#1
54.51.7
57.555.8
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
Second
4779
#11
33.41.8
33.832.0
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End2.7
red by 6.4
58
#39
27.11.7
28.326.6
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Third
3504
#53
24.21.8
26.224.4
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
red by 13.1
9475
#67
11.11.7
12.811.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
97%Melody oddsMissed78%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
50%Ensemble oddsEarned76%Ensemble oddsEarned