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Red87
432927.2
804824.9
413032.9
Blue122
102531.3
366342.6
547235.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8711605010015020087122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#43
32.90.3
31.832.1
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
blue by 9.7
42.61.4
40.842.2
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
Second
4329
#29
27.20.3
27.327.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
blue by 8.1
5472
#26
35.31.4
31.933.2
Auto10.0
Teleop22.5
End2.8
Third
8048
#33
24.90.3
22.923.2
Auto6.7
Teleop15.5
End2.7
blue by 6.3
1025
#15
31.31.4
28.930.2
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
75%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsEarned73%Ensemble oddsEarned