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Red50
598515.7
947710.2
347210.1
Blue86
11138.0
335412.2
591415.3
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307502040601001201401605086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#65
15.71.2
15.416.5
Auto6.4
Teleop6.9
End2.4
blue by 22.3
111
#38
38.01.6
34.335.9
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End0.7
Second
9477
#74
10.21.2
10.011.2
Auto4.8
Teleop3.5
End1.9
blue by 5.1
5914
#68
15.31.6
16.418.0
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Third
3472
#70
10.11.2
7.08.2
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
blue by 2.1
3354
#61
12.21.6
11.413.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
2%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed