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Red93
909832.8
460739.2
188021.4
Blue102
29428.9
756522.7
347847.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1021155015020093102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#13
39.20.0
39.939.8
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
blue by 8.5
47.70.4
46.245.9
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
Second
9098
#19
32.80.0
33.033.0
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
red by 3.9
294
#40
28.90.4
33.533.2
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Third
1880
#47
21.40.0
20.820.7
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 1.2
7565
#59
22.70.4
22.822.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
85%Melody oddsEarned86%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
45%Ensemble oddsEarned58%Ensemble oddsMissed