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Red127
177846.7
636631.4
25454.5
Blue55
88826.6
591415.3
29428.9
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1627605010015020012755

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
54.51.6
55.854.1
Auto15.5
Teleop32.3
End6.6
red by 25.5
294
#40
28.91.6
33.231.6
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Second
1778
#20
46.71.6
47.846.1
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
red by 20.1
888
#32
26.61.6
27.826.2
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
Third
6366
#42
31.41.6
33.131.5
Auto8.2
Teleop21.5
End1.7
red by 16.0
5914
#68
15.31.6
18.016.4
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
99%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
89%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed