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Red83
960932.8
115637.4
947511.1
Blue97
403940.2
413032.9
347210.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90866070801001101208397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#31
37.40.2
36.136.2
Auto13.2
Teleop22.3
End1.8
blue by 2.9
4039
#36
40.21.2
38.239.4
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
9609
#24
32.80.2
33.533.7
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
blue by 0.1
4130
#43
32.91.2
32.133.3
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
Third
9475
#67
11.10.2
11.111.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.7
End1.2
red by 1.1
3472
#70
10.11.2
8.29.4
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
76%Melody oddsEarned68%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsMissed34%Ensemble oddsMissed