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Red94
118938.3
188021.4
102531.3
Blue128
319626.4
547235.3
333939.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101100809011012013094128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1189
#35
38.30.1
38.838.7
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
blue by 0.8
3339
#12
39.12.2
36.638.9
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
Second
1025
#15
31.30.1
30.230.1
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 4.0
5472
#26
35.32.2
33.235.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.5
End2.8
Third
1880
#47
21.40.1
20.720.6
Auto5.8
Teleop14.5
End1.1
blue by 4.9
3196
#60
26.42.2
22.524.7
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned88%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed