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Red103
366342.6
432927.2
347632.0
Blue103
477933.4
439228.9
940137.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112108050150200250300103103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.6
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
red by 5.1
9401
#17
37.5
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
Second
3476
#25
32.0
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End3.9
blue by 1.4
4779
#11
33.4
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End2.7
Third
4329
#29
27.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
blue by 1.8
4392
#16
28.9
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned93%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsEarned28%Ensemble oddsEarned