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Red106
347847.7
350631.4
96139.2
Blue55
756522.7
949517.8
162934.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9987608012014010655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.70.2
48.148.3
Auto14.2
Teleop27.5
End6.1
red by 13.6
1629
#22
34.11.7
36.134.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.3
End2.3
Second
31.40.2
30.831.0
Auto8.3
Teleop22.7
End0.5
red by 8.7
7565
#59
22.71.7
24.322.7
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
Third
9613
#71
9.20.2
9.09.2
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
blue by 8.6
9495
#46
17.81.7
19.517.8
Auto6.8
Teleop8.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned65%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
52%Ensemble oddsEarned22%Ensemble oddsMissed