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Qual 1152024 Newton Division
Red103
601415.1
297446.3
189119.0
Blue100
580439.9
804824.9
960214.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9380204060100120140160103100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2974
#7
46.30.0
48.4→48.4
Auto14.7
Teleop30.4
End1.2
red by 6.5
5804
#37
39.91.6
38.3→39.9
Auto11.4
Teleop25.3
End3.1
Second
1891
#48
19.00.0
19.0→19.0
Auto7.8
Teleop9.7
End1.6
blue by 5.9
8048
#33
24.91.6
23.3→24.9
Auto6.7
Teleop15.5
End2.7
Third
6014
#41
15.10.0
15.1→15.1
Auto8.6
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 1.0
9602
#72
14.11.6
12.5→14.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned69%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsEarned31%Ensemble oddsMissed