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Red92
61031.4
88826.6
502429.4
Blue82
347317.2
909832.8
593318.4
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9970204060801201401609282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
#54
31.40.4
30.831.2
Auto10.6
Teleop21.1
End-0.3
blue by 1.5
9098
#19
32.80.7
32.333.0
Auto13.1
Teleop15.3
End4.4
Second
5024
#23
29.40.4
29.029.4
Auto11.3
Teleop15.9
End2.3
red by 11.0
5933
#55
18.40.7
17.718.4
Auto4.7
Teleop10.9
End2.8
Third
888
#32
26.60.4
26.226.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
red by 9.3
3473
#56
17.20.7
16.517.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
91%Melody oddsEarned21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned