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Qual 1212024 Newton Division
Red103
960932.8
5935.7
393736.9
Blue129
5827.1
333939.1
366342.6
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121119100110130140103129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#28
36.90.9
39.8→38.9
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
blue by 5.7
3663
#5
42.60.4
42.2→42.6
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End4.3
Second
59
#45
35.70.9
35.9→35.0
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
blue by 3.4
3339
#12
39.10.4
38.9→39.3
Auto15.6
Teleop19.6
End3.9
Third
9609
#24
32.80.9
33.7→32.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 5.7
58
#39
27.10.4
26.6→27.1
Auto11.3
Teleop13.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
93%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
80%Ensemble oddsEarned78%Ensemble oddsEarned