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Qual 1222024 Newton Division
Red96
83635.8
36911.8
460739.2
Blue90
118938.3
350424.2
413032.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93109501509690

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4607
#13
39.20.3
39.2→39.5
Auto11.2
Teleop23.7
End4.3
red by 0.9
1189
#35
38.30.4
38.7→38.3
Auto12.0
Teleop24.7
End1.5
Second
836
#4
35.80.3
35.7→36.0
Auto14.4
Teleop16.2
End5.2
red by 2.9
4130
#43
32.90.4
33.3→32.9
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
Third
369
#62
11.80.3
11.5→11.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.2
End1.4
blue by 12.4
3504
#53
24.20.4
24.6→24.2
Auto6.7
Teleop16.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsMissed