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Red118
11138.0
319626.4
691932.9
Blue86
177846.7
432927.2
839318.9
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104103909510010511011511886

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#38
38.01.6
37.038.6
Auto11.8
Teleop25.6
End0.7
blue by 8.7
1778
#20
46.70.5
46.145.7
Auto13.8
Teleop28.8
End4.2
Second
6919
#18
32.91.6
31.933.5
Auto9.5
Teleop21.6
End1.8
red by 5.8
4329
#29
27.20.5
27.727.2
Auto7.1
Teleop17.9
End2.1
Third
3196
#60
26.41.6
24.726.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.9
End0.8
red by 7.4
8393
#66
18.90.5
19.418.9
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed