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Red104
102531.3
644340.6
234118.3
Blue124
301532.4
477933.4
403940.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93117050150200250104124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#10
40.61.1
39.840.9
Auto14.3
Teleop24.0
End2.3
red by 0.4
4039
#36
40.21.4
39.440.8
Auto11.5
Teleop25.0
End3.7
Second
1025
#15
31.31.1
30.131.3
Auto10.9
Teleop15.2
End5.1
blue by 2.2
4779
#11
33.41.4
32.033.4
Auto8.8
Teleop22.0
End2.7
Third
2341
#52
18.31.1
17.118.3
Auto4.8
Teleop11.2
End2.2
blue by 14.1
3015
#51
32.41.4
31.633.0
Auto14.2
Teleop13.3
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
33%Ensemble oddsEarned75%Ensemble oddsEarned