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Red84
756522.7
839318.9
439228.9
Blue82
347210.1
35947.6
5935.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6611402040801001401608482

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#16
28.90.8
26.227.0
Auto13.2
Teleop13.6
End2.1
blue by 18.7
359
#6
47.61.0
51.050.0
Auto15.3
Teleop25.9
End6.5
Second
7565
#59
22.70.9
23.524.4
Auto6.3
Teleop16.2
End0.2
blue by 13.1
59
#45
35.71.0
35.734.6
Auto9.0
Teleop20.2
End6.5
Third
8393
#66
18.90.8
15.916.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.1
End2.0
red by 8.8
3472
#70
10.11.0
11.09.9
Auto3.7
Teleop5.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
53%Melody oddsEarned96%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed73%Ensemble oddsEarned