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Red76
413032.9
347317.2
179717.4
Blue50
96139.2
179218.3
393736.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61632040801007650

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#43
32.90.7
32.333.0
Auto9.3
Teleop21.2
End2.4
blue by 4.0
3937
#28
36.90.4
31.731.3
Auto10.4
Teleop22.4
End4.0
Second
1797
#49
17.40.8
10.411.2
Auto5.6
Teleop10.3
End1.5
blue by 0.9
1792
#58
18.30.4
15.815.4
Auto8.3
Teleop8.2
End1.7
Third
3473
#56
17.20.7
12.513.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.1
End1.5
red by 8.0
9613
#71
9.20.4
8.98.4
Auto5.8
Teleop2.3
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed