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Red99
940137.5
960932.8
88826.6
Blue90
132359.8
77486.0
29428.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881114060801001201401601809990

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9401
#17
37.51.1
29.130.2
Auto13.4
Teleop21.8
End2.3
blue by 22.3
59.80.8
56.655.8
Auto19.7
Teleop32.2
End8.0
Second
9609
#24
32.81.1
29.730.8
Auto11.8
Teleop17.9
End3.1
red by 3.8
294
#40
28.90.8
34.934.1
Auto10.0
Teleop17.5
End1.4
Third
888
#32
26.61.1
23.824.9
Auto9.2
Teleop14.6
End2.7
red by 20.5
7748
#73
6.00.9
6.05.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.1
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
92%Melody oddsEarned85%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed80%Ensemble oddsEarned